UFC on FOX 28 gets a moral victory in fast national ratings

Last night’s Jeremy Stephens win over Josh Emmett, while doing lower numbers than usual for a FOX special, has to be considered almost a moral win with 1,826,000 viewers and a 0.55 rating in the key 18-49 demo based on the fast nationals.

Given the competition of the Olympics on NBC and the Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on ABC, and Emmett’s relative unknown status, the show was widely expected to be in the record-low level of the January 27th event headlined by Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza vs. Derek Brunson, two fighters who have had far more exposure over the past several years. Instead, it beat that 1,593,000 number by 15 percent.

It also beat FOX’s programming against similar competition last Saturday, the Victor Ortiz vs. Devon Alexander boxing match, by 73 percent.

It was still among the lower rated shows in the history of the series.

It also won’t benefit as much from the usual factors which lead to increases in the final ratings. The fast nationals measure what is on FOX from 8-10 p.m. Eastern, 7-9 p.m. Central, 6-8 p.m. Mountain time and 8-10 p.m. Pacific time, based on the usual network programming staggers.

Because major network sports usually airs live, the Olympics being the exception, fast nationals don’t measure either the West Coast viewers, who watch from 5 p.m., or anything after 10 p.m., because FOX’s prime time programming doesn’t run in the 10-11 p.m. time slot. On FOX MMA shows, the period after 10 p.m., since it’s the main event, is always the most widely-viewed.

In this case, Stephens’ second-round win over Emmett ended at 10:06 p.m., so the increase will be less than usual. Also hurting the rating is that KTVU-TV in San Francisco/Oakland/San Jose aired a Chinese New Year celebration.

The key factor to look for Tuesday is the streaming numbers for the show. If the streaming numbers show a sizable increase, it would indicate Northern California viewers who would have watched on television, still watched, switching to FSGo or FOX Now. If those numbers come up at usual levels, it shows that usual television viewers on the UFC in the Bay Area didn’t watch through streaming if they couldn’t get it on regular television.

UFC on FOX 26 does lowest December ratings in series history

Last night’s UFC on FOX show headlined by Rafael dos Anjos’ win over Robbie Lawler, with a welterweight title shot at stake, did 1.78 million viewers on the fast nationals, which would be the lowest December rating in the history of the series and third lowest ever.

The Winnipeg show was down 34 percent from last year’s unusually high fast nationals number for a card featuring Michelle Waterson vs. Paige VanZant and Urijah Faber’s retirement fight against Brad Pickett.

While that’s not a fair comparison, it was down 21-22 percent from the first reported figure for the 2013 to 2015 shows at the same time of the year.

Lawler in particular is a well known fighter, a former welterweight champion who has been pushed as a star since he was a teenager in UFC, Strikeforce, and Elite XC, winning UFC and Elite XC titles. He’s also won an unprecedented three straight matches of the year, with his 2014 fight with Johny Hendricks, his 2015 fight with Rory MacDonald, and his 2016 fight with Carlos Condit. Dos Anjos is a former lightweight champion who is unbeaten as a welterweight.

Dos Anjos won a five-round decision to make him the top contender for Tyron Woodley’s belt.

The fast nationals only measure 8-10 p.m. for FOX, and also don’t measure the West Coast since it covers prime time and the fight airing live on the West Coast was out of what is considered prime time. The final three rounds of the main event aired after 10 p.m. so the final number should grow to closer to 2 million.

UFC on FOX 21 overnights down 9% from last month’s summer record

Headlined by Demian Maia’s first round submission win over Carlos Condit, Saturday night’s UFC on FOX saw a ratings dip of about 9% from the July show featuring Holly Holm and Valentina Shevchenko in the main event.

According to overnight ratings, the show averaged 2.221 million viewers over the two hours. The overnight number was the second lowest in the last two years, beating only UFC on FOX 19 in April with Glover Teixeira and Rashad Evans in the main event.

Saturday’s show also featured Paige VanZant picking up a win over Bec Rawlings by knockout and Anthony Pettis submitting Charles Oliveira in the semi-main event.

The show did 2.184 million viewers in the first hour, then increased slightly to 2.258 million in the second. It put FOX in third place for the night among major networks, beating NBC, which aired original episodes of serial drama Aquarias.

Final numbers won’t be available until Tuesday. Those are usually 10-15% higher, which would mean this show should end up doing in the 2.5-2.6 million viewer range.

Here’s a chart comparing overnight ratings of the past 10 UFC on FOX shows: