Tag: UFC 326

UFC 326 live results: Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 BMF Title fight

Posted on by Ryan Frederick

Two bonafide future UFC Hall of Fame fighters step inside the Octagon to do battle this weekend as UFC 326 takes place inside the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, airing on Paramount+ with a special two-hour block of fights airing on CBS for the first time.

The main event sees the UFC BMF Championship on the line as current title holder Max Holloway defends against Charles Oliveira. This is a rematch of a fight that never really got going over a decade ago when Holloway scored a win over Oliveria in August 2015 when Oliveira suffered an injury less than two minutes into the fight. Both men have gone on to become champions and carve out legendary careers heading into this rematch.

The co-main event is a middleweight bout between two men aiming to get back into title contention as Caio Borralho takes on Reinier de Ridder.

Also on the main card is a bantamweight bout between Rob Font and Raul Rosas Jr.; a lightweight bout pitting Drew Dober against Michael Johnson; and a middleweight bout between Gregory Rodrigues and Brunno Ferreira.

The Dober vs. Johnson and Rodrigues vs. Ferreira bouts, as well as a bantamweight fight between Cody Garbrandt and Xiao Long, and a middleweight bout between Donte Johnson and Cody Brundage, will air on CBS, the first two-hour block of UFC action on the station under the new media rights deal. That two-hour block begins at 8 p.m. eastern time.

PRELIMS | 5:30 PM ET/2:30 PM PT

> Light Heavyweights- Luke Fernandez (6-0, 0-0 UFC) vs. Rodolfo Bellato (12-3-1 1 NC, 1-1-1 1 NC UFC)

Fernandez lands a knee to the body to start. Fernandez lands a leg kick and starts working the jab. Fernandez with a right hand and a pair of uppercuts backs Bellato up and they clinch against the fence. Fernandez with some knees as Bellato lands to the body. Fernandez lands a right hand as they break. Fernandez works the jab as Bellato lands a left hook to the body. Fernandez lands a solid right hand. Fernandez with some uppercuts in a brief clinch. Bellato lands in close range and drops Fernandez. Bellato starts teeing off on the ground and Fernandez gives up his back. Bellato with tons of shots and it is stopped! Bellato scores an upset in the opener.

Fight Result- Rodolfo Bellato def. Luke Fernandez by TKO (punches) at 2:42 of Round 1

> Light Heavyweights- Rafael Tobias (14-1, 0-0 UFC) vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (10-2, 0-2 UFC)

Nurgozhay lands some straight left hands and a front kick to the body. Tobias swings and misses as Nurgozhay lands to the body. Nurgozhay with a leg kick and lands a left hand followed by a front kick. They trade and Nurgozhay grabs the body and they go to the fence. Nurgozhay lands a groin strike and Tobias is hurt as Nurgozhay is continuing to land and Herb Dean calls a stop to call timeout for the groin shot. They return to action and Nurgozhay lands a combination. Nurgozhay with a leg kick. Tobias lands a leg kick. Nurgozhay with a left hand. Nurgozhay lands to the body. Tobias with a high kick. Tobias lands a right hand but eats a counter combo from Nurgozhay. They trade and Nurgozhay lands a body kick. Tobias lands a right hand. They both connect in close range. Nurgozhay lands a right hand and Tobias lands a right hand. 10-9 Nurgozhay.

Nurgozhay lands a combo and a leg kick. Nurgozhay with a left hand. Nurgozhay lands another left hand. Nurgozhay with a leg kick followed by a left hand. Tobias isn’t really landing much. Nurgozhay lands a stiff left hand. Tobias grabs a leg but lets go and lands a combo. Tobias looks for a takedown against the fence but Nurgozhay grabs the fence to block it. Tobias is working hard for the takedown but Nurgozhay is defending. They separate. Tobias lands a big right hand and another punch and Nurgozhay is hurt. Tobias scores a takedown and gets the mount. Tobias landing left hands from the top. Tobias is looking to set up a choke but Nurgozhay reverses into the guard of Tobias. Nurgozhay landing big shots from the top. Nurgozhay stands and Tobias is just laying on the ground and is ordered up at the end of the round. 10-9 Nurgozhay, 20-18 Nurgozhay.

Nurgozhay lands a pair of body kicks. He lands another as Tobias lands a left hand. Nurgozhay lands a straight left hand to the body. Nurgozhay lands a left hand and a front kick to the body. Nurgozhay with some leg kicks. Nurgozhay lands a combination and a front kick to the body again. Tobias with a body kick. They’re trading in close range but not a lot of action is happening. Tobias forces a clinch and looks for a takedown but Nurgozhay defends. Both land a knee as they battle for position. Tobias gets Nurgozhay down and has the back and jumps on it as they stand. Tobias looks for a leg. 10-9 Nurgozhay, 30-27 Nurgozhay.

Fight Result- Diyar Nurgozhay def. Rafael Tobias by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

> Flyweights- Sumudaerji (18-7, 5-4 UFC) vs. Jesus Aguilar (12-3, 4-2 UFC)

Sumudaerji lands an inside leg kick. Sumudaerji works the jab as Aguilar lands a leg kick. Aguilar with a calf kick as Sumudaerji just misses a jumping knee. Aguilar looks for a takedown against the fence as they clinch. Aguilar with a few short knees against the fence. They break apart. Sumudaerji lands a straight left hand and a low kick that hits the groin of Aguilar and timeout is called. They get back going. Sumudaerji with a pair of kicks. Sumudaerji lands a head kick. Sumudaerji with a wheel kick that Aguilar barely blocks. Aguilar lands a leg kick but eats a combo from Sumudaerji. Sumudaerji lands a high kick. Sumudaerji with a big throw takedown and he starts landing from the top, but they quickly stand. They trade punches. 10-9 Sumudaerji.

They’re both throwing various kicks to start the second but neither really landing. Sumudaerji lands a left hand. Sumudaerji scores a takedown and lands from the top. Aguilar gets Sumudaerji inside his full guard. Sumudaerji lands but they scramble up. Sumudaerji lands an uppercut. Sumudaerji with a front kick then lands a leg kick. Aguilar looks for a takedown but Sumudaerji defends and they trade late. 10-9 Sumudaerji, 20-18 Sumudaerji.

Aguilar throws a flurry but Sumudaerji grabs him and scores a takedown. Sumudaerji tries to keep Aguilar pinned but they get up, though Sumudaerji gets Aguilar back down to the mat. They scramble up and separate. Sumudaerji lands a front kick and a jab as Aguilar lands a right hand. Sumudaerji lands a jumping knee but it allows Aguilar to get a takedown. They get up and Aguilar lands before they break apart. Sumudaerji lands a body kick followed by a solid combination. Aguilar looks for a single leg as they push to the fence. Sumudaerji lands and Aguilar backs off. Sumudaerji with a spin kick to the body. Aguilar lands a left hand. Sumudaerji lands a big left hand and a big flurry late and Aguilar briefly went down near the end. 10-9 Sumudaerji, 30-27 Sumudaerji.

Fight Result- Sumudaerji def. Jesus Aguilar by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

> Flyweights- Cody Durden (17-9-1, 6-7-1 UFC) vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (9-1, 1-1 UFC)

Both land leg kicks early on. Durden shoots for a takedown but Tumendemberel grabs the neck and looks for a guillotine choke. Durden is able to get out and they get up with Durden still having body control. Tumendemberel is able to force separation. They trade leg kicks and Durden shoots for a takedown. Tumendemberel grabs the neck and uses it to scramble up. Durden back attacking the takedown against the fence. Durden gets another takedown but Tumendemberel gets to sprawl position and they stand. Tumendemberel gets a big takedown and is in the guard of Durden. Durden looking for an armbar from the bottom. Tumendemberel escapes and they get to their feet. Durden gets Tumendemberel back down but eats some hard elbows at the same time. 10-9 Tumendemberel.

Tumendemberel lands a left hand and they trade in close range. Durden looks for a takedown but Tumendemberel scrambles to the top, though Durden attacks the leg. Tumendemberel is able to take the back of Durden and is working for a choke with the body triangle locked on. Durden reverses and is now on top. Tumendemberel is able to reverse and is on top in side control. Tumendemberel with a big elbow and some right hands from the top. Durden attacks the leg but Tumendemberel gets out and they stand. Tumendemberel lands a right hand right into a takedown. Tumendemberel controlling the neck as he lands a short elbow. Durden gives up his back and Tumendemberel lands some punches though one was to the back of the head. They stand and Durden lands a right hand before the bell and Tumendemberel lands a right hand way after the bell. 10-9 Tumendemberel, 20-18 Tumendemberel.

They clinch right up and scramble to the mat and go to the fence with Tumendemberel on top. Tumendemberel gets the back but Durden escapes and jumps on the back of Tumendemberel as they’re on the feet. Tumendemberel shakes Durden off and is on top and lands a pair of elbows. They stand as Tumendemberel lands some knees. Tumendemberel gets the back as they go back to the mat. Tumendemberel with a right hand from the back and he starts looking for a choke. Durden is rolling as Tumendemberel keeps the back, but Durden ends up on top. Durden looks for an arm triangle choke. He has it locked in but Tumendemberel rolls and Durden lets go and is now on the back. Durden lands from the back. Tumendemberel shakes Durden off and lands a right hand and gets into side control. Tumendemberel attacks the neck. Tumendemberel lands after the bell again. 10-9 Durden, 29-28 Tumendemberel.

Fight Result- Nyamjargal Tumendemberel def. Cody Durden by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

> Featherweights- Ricky Turcios (12-5, 2-3 UFC) vs. Alberto Montes (10-1, 0-0 UFC)

Turcios lands a leg kick. They trade leg kicks and Turcios looks for a takedown, but Montes defends it as they’re tied up against the fence. They trade knees against the fence before breaking apart. Montes works the jab. Turcios lands a leg kick. They trade in close range. Turcios pushes Montes against the fence. They break apart and Montes lands an elbow. Montes lands a combination then a knee as they tie up for a moment. They trade combinations. Montes lands an uppercut followed by two solid right hands. Turcios gets the clinch against the fence. Montes lands a knee to the body. They break apart and both land punches. Montes grabs the neck as they sprawl. Montes with a knee to the body as they stand. Montes lands a body kick followed by a right hand and another front kick to the body. 10-9 Montes.

They trade and Turcios looks for a takedown. Montes grabs the neck and locks in an anaconda choke. It is in deep and Turcios goes out! What a finish from Montes!

Fight Result- Alberto Montes def. Ricky Turcios by submission (D’Arce choke) at :40 of Round 2

> Middleweights- Donte Johnson (7-0, 1-0 UFC) vs. Cody Brundage (11-8-1 1 NC, 5-7-1 1 NC UFC)

Brundage gets a takedown as Johnson went to land to start. Brundage pushes it to the fence from the top. Brundage is just holding on at the moment. Johnson with short shots from the bottom as Brundage isn’t doing much on top. Brundage with a few left hands from the top. Johnson scrambles and they get to their feet. Johnson lands some kicks. Brundage lands a right hand. He lands another. They trade punches. Johnson with a combo as Brundage lands a jab. Johnson lands a pair of right hands. 10-9 Brundage.

Johnson lands a little. Brundage shoots for a takedown but Johnson sprawls and grabs the neck. They’re just laying on the mat in sprawl position. Johnson looks to transition as Brundage just stays on his knees. Brundage attacks the leg and gets Johnson down and takes the back. Brundage lands two right hands from the back. Johnson tries to stand with Brundage on his back. Brundage attacks an arm. Johnson gets out and lands big shots from the top. Brundage gives up his back and is covering up as Johnson lands. Johnson has the neck and lands some right hands. Johnson continues to control the neck and land punches. Johnson stands and backs off to let Brundage up. Timeout is called for an eye poke by Johnson. They get back going and Johnson lands. 10-9 Johnson, 19-19.

Brundage shoots for a takedown but Johnson sprawls and grabs the neck. Johnson lets go and they stand. Johnson working the jab. Johnson lands a pair of leg kicks. Brundage lands a right hand. Brundage with a leg kick. Johnson lands a left hook. Brundage lands a pair of jabs. They trade left hands. Johnson lands a left hand. Brundage still mainly working the jab. Brundage lands a leg kick. Brundage with a stiff jab. Johnson cracks Brundage with a right hand and Brundage looks for a takedown. Brundage lets go and Johnson is pressing forward and lands a left hand. Brundage looks for a takedown but Johnson sprawls. They get back up. They both throw at the end. 10-9 Johnson, 29-28 Johnson.

Fight Result- Donte Johnson def. Cody Brundage by split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

> Bantamweights- Cody Garbrandt (14-7, 9-7 UFC) vs. Xiao Long (27-10, 1-2 UFC)

Garbrandt lands a combination. Long lands a pair of leg kicks then a head kick. Garbrandt looks to set up a takedown and lands a knee. Garbrandt with a left hand. Long lands a body kick. Garbrandt ducks under a punch and gets the underhooks against the fence. Garbrandt lands an elbow and Long goes to a knee but gets right up. Garbrandt lands a body kick. Garbrandt with a spinning elbow. Long lands a pair of leg kicks. Garbrandt with a leg kick. Long lands a head kick. Garbrandt gets a brief takedown and has the back as they get to their feet. They break apart and Garbrandt lands an elbow on the break. Garbrandt with a quick combo. 10-9 Long.

They trade leg kicks. They tie up as both look for a takedown but they end up separating. Garbrandt with a front kick to the body. Long still working mainly leg kicks. Garbrandt lands a right hand. Long with a right hand and a body kick. Long presses forward with some punches and a body kick. Long with a leg kick that trips Garbrandt up. They clinch along the fence but quickly break apart. Long with a body kick. Long with a head kick that Garbrandt blocks. Long lands a right hand. Garbrandt lands a knee. A clash of heads sends Long down for a moment near the end of the round but he gets up. 10-9 Long, 20-18 Long.

Garbrandt lands a leg kick. Long lands a groin kick and timeout is called. They resume and Long lands another groin strike, this one worse than the last one, and timeout is called again. Garbrandt was puking into a bucket during timeout but he is going to continue. Long has a point taken away and they get back going. Garbrandt rushes out with a flying knee. They clinch against the fence. Long with a pair of knees and one landed to the groin again. Timeout is called and Long has another point taken away. They get back to action. Garbrandt lands a right hand. Garbrandt with a quick combo but not much is happening. Garbrandt with another quick combo. They briefly clinch and Garbrandt lands a knee. Long with a head kick. Long lands a knee to the head. Garbrandt lands a knee as they separate. Long gets a late takedown and ends the fight on top. 9-8 Garbrandt due to the point deductions, 28-27 Long.

Fight Result- Cody Garbrandt def. Xiao Long by unanimous decision (28-27, 28-27, 28-27)

MAIN CARD | 9 PM ET/6 PM PT

> Middleweights- #13 Gregory Rodrigues (18-6, 9-3 UFC) vs. #15 Brunno Ferreira (15-2, 6-2 UFC)

Nothing has happened in the first minute. Ferreira lands a right hand. Rodrigues lands a massive right hand and Ferreira goes down and is out and it is all over!

Fight Result- Gregory Rodrigues def. Brunno Ferreira by knockout (punch) at 1:47 of Round 1

> Lightweights- Drew Dober (28-15 1 NC, 14-11 1 NC UFC) vs. Michael Johnson (24-19, 16-15 UFC)

Johnson lands a leg kick then a left hand. Johnson with a combination and Dober backs up due to it. Dober lands a leg kick. Johnson with an inside leg kick. Dober connects with a left hand. Johnson lands a big left hand. They trade in close range. Johnson lands a leg kick. Dober lands a right hook. Dober lands a leg kick. Dober with a left hand and a body kick. Johnson lands a leg kick and a left hand. They both land left hands. Johnson lands a solid left hand. Johnson with a leg kick. 10-9 Johnson.

They trade to start the second. Johnson lands a right hand. Dober with a leg kick. Dober lands a body kick. Dober lands a leg kick and Johnson lands a counter right hand. Dober lands a solid left hand as Johnson lands a jab. Dober lands a massive left hand and Johnson goes down and is out cold! What a knockout by Dober!

Fight Result- Drew Dober def. Michael Johnson by TKO (punch) at 1:53 of Round 2

> Bantamweights- #13 Rob Font (22-9, 12-8 UFC) vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (11-1, 5-1 UFC)

They both land leg kicks. Font with a body kick. Font lands a stiff jab. Rosas Jr. lands a leg kick. Rosas Jr. lands a leg kick and spins out of Font grabbing the leg. Rosas Jr. works the jab. Font lands a pair of body shots followed by a right hand. Rosas Jr. scores a takedown. Rosas Jr. with some body shots from the top. They almost posture up but Rosas Jr. keeps it down, though they get back up. Rosas Jr. has back control and drags Font back down, but they stand. Rosas Jr. keeps dragging Font down but they always immediately stand. Rosas Jr. keeps back control as the round ends. 10-9 Rosas Jr..

Rosas Jr. gets a takedown and Font threatens with a triangle choke, but Rosas Jr. escapes and is inside the guard of Font. They scramble up and Rosas Jr. has back control. Rosas Jr. gets Font back down from the back, but Font is able to recover his guard. Rosas Jr. looks to transition to side control. Both land elbows. Font rolls out but Rosas Jr. is able to keep him down. Rosas Jr. sweeps to the half-guard. Rosas Jr. lands from the top. 10-9 Rosas Jr., 20-18 Rosas Jr..

Font lands a right hand. Rosas Jr. scores a takedown and lands some from the top before they stand. Rosas Jr. has back control and drags Font back to the mat. Rosas Jr. gets into the half-guard. They keep getting up and Rosas Jr. keeps dragging it back down and controlling and landing from the top as they go the distance. 10-9 Rosas Jr., 30-27 Rosas Jr..

Fight Result- Raul Rosas Jr. def. Rob Font by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

> Middleweights- #7 Caio Borralho (17-2 1 NC, 7-1 UFC) vs. #8 Reinier de Ridder (21-3, 4-1 UFC)

Borralho lands a spin kick. Borralho lands some leg kicks. They trade and Borralho lands a right hand and de Ridder slips to the mat but he gets right up. Borralho lands a left hand and then de Ridder lands a groin strike and timeout is called. They get back to action. Borralho lands a leg kick and de Ridder lands a combo. Borralho with a left hand and a leg kick. Borralho lands a solid combination. Both land some solid kicks. de Ridder scores a takedown and has back control as they scramble. They get back up and de Ridder maintains control and gets Borralho back down. Borralho lands an elbow and they get up. 10-9 Borralho.

Borralho lands a leg kick. Borralho lands a left hand. de Ridder grabs Borralho and is looking for a takedown as he has the body lock. de Ridder ends up letting go and they trade punches. Borralho lands a leg kick. de Ridder lands a combination. They both land and clinch at the end. 10-9 de Ridder, 19-19.

de Ridder lands a knee and Borralho is able to score a takedown. Borralho gets the half-guard and both land elbows to the body. They end up getting up after not much action. Both land punches and Borralho lands a leg kick. de Ridder lands a combination. Borralho lands a body shot. They trade late. 10-9 Borralho, 29-28 Borralho.

Fight Result- Caio Borralho def. Reinier de Ridder by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

> UFC BMF Championship- C Max Holloway (27-8, 23-8 UFC) vs. #3 LW Charles Oliveira (36-11 1 NC, 24-11 1 NC UFC)

Oliveira lands a pair of leg kicks. Holloway lands a right hand. Holloway with a right hand followed by a jab. Both land combinations. They are throwing big shots and Oliveira gets a takedown. Oliveira lands a knee to the belly and then stands. Oliveira goes back down in side control and lands some elbows. Holloway gives up his back and Oliveira jumps on it as they stand. Oliveira is looking for a choke and it’s on the face. Oliveira is squeezing but lets go as Holloway escapes. Oliveira with left hands. He now lands some elbows to the body. Oliveira looks for the choke again but Holloway escapes. Holloway survives the round. 10-9 Oliveira.

They trade right hands. Holloway with a quick combination. Oliveira lands a body kick and looks for a takedown and gets it. Oliveira gets to top side mount. Oliveira is working for a choke again. Oliveira gets the back and is trying to find an opening for a choke as Holloway is defending. Oliveira lets go and lands some big elbows. Oliveira has the back with the hooks on and lands some hard elbows. Oliveira looks for a choke. Holloway fights it off. The action stalls a little late in the round. Oliveira lands a right hand. 10-8 Oliveira, 20-17 Oliveira.

I don’t know what happened in the first two minutes of round three as the Paramount+ feed completely died, but it came back on with Oliveira on top and looking for the mount. Oliveira working from the half-guard and lands to the body. Holloway is pinned on the bottom and unable to escape. Oliveira lands an elbow. Oliveira lands from the top to end the round. 10-9 Oliveira, 30-26 Oliveira.

Holloway lands a leg kick and a right hand. Holloway having success with his striking. Oliveira shoots for a takedown and has the body lock. Holloway is defending. Oliveira gets Holloway down to the mat. Oliveira gets the mount and lands some big elbows. Holloway is trying to scramble out but gives up his back. Oliveira has the body triangle locked on but not a lot of action is happening. 10-9 Oliveira, 40-35 Oliveira.

They trade and Holloway scores a takedown. Oliveira is trying to sweep out from the bottom as Holloway lands some short punches from the top. They end up back on their feet and Oliveira scores a takedown. Oliveira working from inside the guard of Holloway. Oliveira lands a pair of elbows. Oliveira gets to the half-guard as he’s pressuring from the top. They get to their feet and Oliveira has the back. They both land right hands at the end. 10-9 Oliveira, 50-44 Oliveira.

Fight Result- Charles Oliveira def. Max Holloway by unanimous decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) to win the UFC BMF Championship

UFC 326 Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Predictions

Posted on by Jake Skudder

UFC 326 goes down on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and the fight card is loaded with genuine finish potential from top to bottom. Here are my predictions for every bout on the card.

FightPickBest path to victoryBiggest riskConfidence
Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2Max HollowayHolloway’s volume striking at 7.20 significant strikes landed per minute, combined with elite takedown defense, makes him the more reliable minute-winner over five rounds.Oliveira only needs one clean scramble or grappling entry to threaten a submission finish.High
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de RidderCaio BorralhoBorralho’s edge in striking output, stronger defensive numbers, and ability to keep long stretches upright point to a control-based decision win.De Ridder’s submission game remains dangerous if he can consistently force grappling exchanges.High
Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr.Raul Rosas Jr.Rosas Jr.’s pressure, finishing instinct, and current four-fight win streak make him a strong stylistic fit in a matchup built around pace and aggression.Font’s veteran durability and punching power can flip the fight if Rosas gets reckless on entries.Medium
Gregory Rodrigues vs. Matheus Nicolau FerreiraGregory RodriguesRodrigues brings the more complete finishing game, with credible stopping power on the feet and enough threat on the mat to dictate the terms.Ferreira is most dangerous in open striking exchanges where he can land clean first.Medium
Drew Dober vs. Michael JohnsonDrew DoberDober’s proven lightweight power and recent momentum give him the stronger upside in what projects as a standup-heavy fight.Johnson’s upset run shows he is still capable of disrupting expectations with speed and timing.Medium

Main Event: Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2

Holloway enters as a clear favorite at around -188, with Oliveira priced as a +188 underdog. The key stylistic argument is simple: Holloway’s volume striking at 7.20 significant strikes per minute (via UFCStats) will be the dominant factor if the fight stays standing, and his takedown defense, which is historically elite, should neutralize the biggest threat in Oliveira’s arsenal.

FighterOddsFinish Method Probability
Max Holloway-188KO/TKO: 40%, Decision: 45%
Charles Oliveira+188Submission: 35%, KO/TKO: 15%

Oliveira does hold a 5-inch reach advantage and a legitimate path to victory through his elite submission grappling. One scramble, one lapse in Holloway’s defense, and the fight is over. However, Holloway’s speed and sharp boxing should allow him to control distance and punish Oliveira’s forward pressure on the feet.

Prediction: Max Holloway wins by TKO, Round 4. Holloway’s output accumulates punishment over the championship rounds, and Oliveira’s chin, tested by Makhachev and Poirier, likely eventually buckles under the volume.

Co-Main: Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder

Borralho is a significant -235 favorite, with de Ridder at +180. Borralho averages 3.4 significant strikes per minute to de Ridder’s 2.2, and his striking defense sits at a superior 63% compared to de Ridder’s 44%. De Ridder’s path to victory runs almost entirely through his grappling, as he has 14 submission wins from 21 total victories, but Borralho’s takedown defense and scramble ability should keep this upright for significant stretches.

Prediction: Caio Borralho wins by unanimous decision. Borralho out-strikes de Ridder across three rounds, denies the takedowns often enough to earn the judges’ scorecards, and reasserts himself as a legitimate middleweight title contender.​

Main Card Predictions at a Glance

FightOur PickMethodConfidence
Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Max HollowayTKO R4High
Borralho vs. De RidderCaio BorralhoDecisionHigh
Font vs. Rosas Jr.Raul Rosas Jr.Finish ITDMedium
Rodrigues vs. Nicolau FerreiraGregory RodriguesTKOMedium
Dober vs. Michael JohnsonDrew DoberKOMedium

Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr.

At just 21 years old and riding a four-fight win streak, Raul Rosas Jr. is my pick here. Font is a durable veteran with genuine power, but Rosas Jr.’s finishing instinct and forward pressure represent a stylistic nightmare. Some markets imply a 76% probability of a finish inside 1.5 rounds.

Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins by TKO, Round 2. His pace and aggression overwhelm Font, who has shown defensive vulnerabilities in recent outings.​

Gregory Rodrigues vs. Matheus Nicolau Ferreira

Rodrigues is the more well-rounded and dangerous fighter of the two, as in he brings legitimate finishing ability both on the feet and on the ground, while Ferreira’s primary edge lies in standup exchanges.​

Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins by TKO, Round 3.

Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson

Between them, Dober and Johnson have over 30 career knockouts and both operate almost exclusively in standup exchanges. Dober snapped a three-fight skid with a recent KO win, while Johnson has defied the odds on three straight upsets. Dober’s proven power at lightweight and current momentum edge him in this one.

Prediction: Drew Dober wins by KO, Round 1 or 2.​

Prelim Predictions

FightOur PickMethod
Cody Garbrandt vs. Long XiaoCody GarbrandtKO — comeback narrative fuels a sharp performance
Cody Durden vs. TumendemberalTumendemberalDecision — wrestling and pace grind Durden down
Sumudaerji vs. AguilarSumudaerjiDecision — striking separates him cleanly ​
Alberto Montes vs. Ricky TurciosAlberto MontesDecision — more well-rounded on debut ​
Cody Brundage vs. Dante JohnsonDante JohnsonKO — composure and power on display ​
Bolanos vs. LeeBolanosDecision

Finish-Rate Outlook

This card has an exceptionally high finish probability profile. The main event, co-main, Font vs. Rosas Jr., and the Dober vs. Johnson slugfest all carry strong stoppage potential. If the card plays out close to these predictions, expect seven or more finishes across the full slate, making UFC 326 one of the more action-heavy PPVs of 2026.

UFC 326 Picks: Holloway vs Oliveira, Rosas Jr vs Font

Posted on by Jake Skudder

UFC 326 gives MMA fans two very different matchmaking puzzles, with a five-round BMF title rematch between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira, and a classic veteran-versus-prospect bantamweight test between Rob Font and Raul Rosas Jr. The odds favor Holloway at around -235 over Oliveira at +190, while Rosas Jr. sits near -218 against Font at +180, but the stylistic details matter more than just the raw price tags.

Holloway vs Oliveira 2 read

Holloway enters with a 27-8 record and elite volume numbers, averaging 7.20 significant strikes landed per minute with 59% striking defense and 83% takedown defense (via UFCStats).

Oliveira brings a 36-11 record with a very different profile, averaging 2.22 takedowns and 2.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes (via UFCStats), which explains why he remains dangerous even as the underdog.

The market has Holloway favored because his pace, durability, and layered boxing are built to punish opponents over time, while Oliveira’s path to victory here is far more dependent on creating chaos early or forcing grappling exchanges.

FightOddsKey stats
Max Holloway vs Charles OliveiraHolloway -235, Oliveira +190 ​Holloway: 7.20 SLpM, 83% TD defense ​; Oliveira: 2.22 TD Avg, 2.6 Sub Avg ​
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Rob FontRosas Jr. -218, Font +180 ​Rosas: 4.01 TD Avg, 1.1 Sub Avg ​; Font: 5.36 SLpM, 43% TD defense in recent stretch 

Why Holloway leads

Holloway is the more trustworthy pick here, because he can win minutes in several phases without needing to force a finish. He absorbs 4.74 significant strikes per minute, which is not low, but his own pace and shot selection have historically overwhelmed even elite names when fights move past the early danger zone and into the Championship rounds.

Oliveira’s 54% takedown accuracy and submission threat mean he is a genuine threat at all times, yet his 49% striking defense and the pressure Holloway sustains make extended striking exchanges a real problem for Do Bronx. My lean is Holloway by late stoppage or clear decision, because his style is better suited to a long, high-output title fight.

Rosas Jr. vs Font

Rosas Jr. may actually be the cleaner lock of these two featured fights, even though Holloway is the slightly bigger favorite on the board. The reason is stylistic, as Rosas averages 4.01 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.1 submissions per 15 (via UFCStats), while Font has been taken down 11 times across his previous three fights and owns a 43% takedown defense rate in that recent sample (via UFCStats).

Font is still the sharper boxer with 5.36 significant strikes landed per minute and a 71-inch reach, so if he keeps the fight standing he can absolutely win rounds behind the jab. But over three rounds, Rosas’ wrestling pressure, top control and pace look like the most repeatable edge he has to get the win over the three rounds.

Best lock

If the question is which favorite looks safest on paper, the answer is Raul Rosas Jr. Holloway has the stronger résumé and deserves to be favored, but Oliveira’s finishing/submission danger makes that matchup inherently volatile. Rosas, by contrast, is facing an opponent whose biggest weakness lines up directly with his best weapon, which is usually what creates the closest thing to a lock in MMA.

UFC 326 Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Odds

Posted on by Jake Skudder

UFC 326 lands at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on March 7, 2026, with Max Holloway defending his BMF title against Charles Oliveira in one of the most compelling rematches the lightweight division has produced in the last few years. The market odds paint a clear picture, but the numbers behind them tell an even deeper story for this huge 155-pound fight for the BMF title.

What the Odds Reveal

Max Holloway enters as a -230 favorite, translating to roughly a 70% implied win probability. Oliveira, the former UFC Lightweight Champion, opens at +175, which not a dismissal of his abilities, but rather a market acknowledgment of Holloway’s sustained championship-level consistency. Their original 2015 fight ended in Round 1 due to a neck injury suffered by Oliveira, meaning this is effectively their first “real” bout (you can easily write the other one off).

FighterOdds (DraftKings)Implied Win %
Max Holloway-230~70%
Charles Oliveira+175~36%

Method of Victory Odds

The oddsmakers expect a finish. The “fight not going the distance” prop sits at -230, with the distance prop at +178. Holloway’s most probable route is KO/TKO at +165, entirely consistent with his 12 career knockouts, while a decision win comes in at +200. Oliveira’s best path, as any seasoned fan would expect, runs through the submission game at +330.

FighterKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Max Holloway+165+1200+200
Charles OliveiraN/A+330N/A

Round Total Breakdown

The total rounds prop sits at 3.5, with the under priced at -136 and the over at +108. That slight lean toward an early finish reflects Holloway’s relentless bodywork and Oliveira’s instinct to seek submissions, a stylistic combination that rarely produces grinding five-round affairs.​

Fighter Profiles at a Glance

Max Holloway (27-8) is the reigning BMF Champion who made his first-ever successful BMF title defense by defeating Dustin Poirier via unanimous decision at UFC 318. His elite cardio, body attack, adaptive counter-striking, and footwork have arguably never been sharper, justifying his frontrunner status.

Charles Oliveira enters with a perfect 3-0 career rematch record, a quietly significant statistical edge that viewers should not overlook. His diverse clinch work, explosive leg kicks, and transitions to submission are among the most dangerous in the sport.

Full Main Card Odds

MatchupDivisionFavoriteUnderdog
Holloway vs. OliveiraLightweight (BMF)-230+175
Borralho vs. De RidderMiddleweight-290+235
Rosas Jr. vs. FontBantamweight-218+180
Johnson vs. DoberLightweight-122+102
Rodrigues vs. FerreiraMiddleweight-198+164

The odds at UFC 326 reflect genuine market confidence in Holloway’s well-rounded championship game, but Oliveira’s unbeaten rematch record and elite submission arsenal make him far more than a token underdog. The 30-point implied probability gap between both men is the market’s verdict and UFC 326 prediction for the main event.​

Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira 2 Fight Preview and Breakdown UFC 326

Posted on by Jake Skudder

On March 7, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Max “Blessed” Holloway defends his BMF title against former UFC Lightweight Champion Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira in the main event of UFC 326, a fight that carries legitimate career-defining stakes for both men.​

The First Fight and What Has Changed

Their 2015 featherweight meeting was anticlimactic. Oliveira sustained a neck and shoulder injury during a takedown attempt in Round 1, meaning he was unable to continue, and Holloway was awarded the TKO. Neither fighter was who they are today though, and since Holloway has become a legend of the featherweight division, captured the BMF title with a fifth-round knockout at UFC 300, and now holds eight wins over seven former champions, including Gaethje, Poirier, and a two-fight sweep of Jose Aldo.

Oliveira, meanwhile, built the most prolific finishing résumé in UFC history, captured and lost the lightweight title, and most recently submitted Mateusz Gamrot in Round 1 back in October 2025.

Tale of the Tape

StatMax Holloway (27-8-0)Charles Oliveira (36-11-0)
Age3436
Height5’11”5’10”
Reach69″74″
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Sig. Strikes/Min7.203.35
Sig. Strike Acc.49.56%62.66%
Takedown Avg/15min0.242.22
Takedown Defense83%40%
Submission Avg/15min0.302.61
Career Finishes1421

Oliveira holds a significant 5-inch reach advantage, while Holloway’s striking volume nearly doubles his opponent’s output at 7.20 significant strikes per minute (via UFCStats) compared to Oliveira’s 3.35 (via UFCStats). However, Oliveira’s 62.66% strike accuracy compared to Holloway’s 49.56% tells a more nuanced story…Do Bronx picks his shots carefully.​

Holloway’s Path to Victory

Holloway’s blueprint is simple but brutal: volume, volume, volume. He is one of the rare fighters whose output actually increases in championship rounds, and his takedown defense of 83% should blunt Oliveira’s most dangerous avenue. If Holloway can maintain distance and dictate pace, he will likely accumulate enough damage to earn a late stoppage or wide decision. His chin has been tested by the very best: Poirier, Gaethje, Volkanovski, and it has largely held firm. A long night on the feet is always going to be Holloway’s territory here.

Oliveira’s Path to Victory

Oliveira holds the UFC record for most submission wins (17) and most finishes (21) in history. His path runs through the clinch: closing distance early, dragging Holloway into scrambles, and capitalizing on a single lapse in takedown defense. Holloway has not been tested extensively on the ground at lightweight, and one deep submission attempt could change everything on the night.

Oliveira has also knocked out fighters who underestimated him on the feet, boasting 10 career KO wins. If he can force dirty boxing exchanges and land his high-accuracy shots at close range, his 62.66% accuracy then becomes a targeted weapon that Holloway will have to deal with.

Finish Probability Breakdown

FighterKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Max Holloway (-188)40%5%45%
Charles Oliveira (+188)15%35%5%

​Holloway enters as a -188 favorite, with Oliveira priced at +188. The odds reflect Holloway’s striking dominance on paper, but Oliveira absolutely has a chance.​

Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Prediction

This fight hinges on one question: can Oliveira survive Rounds 1 and 2 on the feet long enough to shift the fight to the ground? If yes, he’s dangerous. If no, Holloway picks him apart systematically.

Given Holloway’s elite cardio and championship-round output, expect the accumulated damage he puts on to lead to Holloway winning by TKO in Round 4 at UFC 326.

That said, Oliveira’s submissions have ended fights in the blink of an eye, making this an absolute must-watch for any hardcore MMA fan heading into fight week.

UFC 326 Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Main Card Start Times: US, UK, Australia and more

Posted on by Jake Skudder

UFC 326 lands on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, and the main card is headlined by one of the most stylistically explosive matchups in recent UFC history: Max Holloway defending his BMF title against former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira. With five fights across the main card and a historic CBS simulcast debut for the promotion, this is a must-watch night from the first bell to the last.​

Main Card Start Times by Region

The main card goes live at 6:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM ET, with the headliner expected to walk to the octagon no earlier than approximately 10:30 PM ET depending on fight finishes.

SessionPT (Los Angeles)ET (New York)GMT (London)AEDT (Sydney)CET (Europe)JST (Tokyo)
Main Card Starts6:00 PM9:00 PM2:00 AM Sun1:00 PM Sun3:00 AM Sun11:00 AM Sun
Est. Main Event~8:30 PM~11:30 PM~4:30 AM Sun~3:30 PM Sun~5:30 AM Sun~1:30 PM Sun

How to Watch: Broadcast by Country

This UFC 326 main card marks a landmark moment in the promotion’s US broadcast history, the first CBS simulcast under the new Paramount/Skydance media rights deal.​

RegionBroadcasterNotes
USACBS + Paramount+CBS airs first hour; full card on Paramount+
UKTNT SportsMain card from 2:00 AM GMT Sunday
AustraliaKayo Sports / Main EventPPV via Main Event; stream via Kayo
CanadaParamount+Full main card streaming
Germany/EuropeDAZNFull card coverage
JapanUFC Fight PassFull card streaming

UK fans face the toughest watch, a 2:00 AM GMT start with the main event likely not until 4:30 AM Sunday morning. The CBS simulcast in the US is a genuine milestone: it’s the first time a full UFC main card has aired on broadcast television in prime time in over 15 years, expected to draw record casual viewership alongside the hardcore audience.

Full Main Card

Here is the complete five-fight main card as confirmed for March 7:​

Fighter ARecordvs.Fighter BRecordDivisionStakes
Max Holloway (c)27-7vs.Charles Oliveira36-10LightweightBMF Title
Caio Borralho18-2vs.Reinier de Ridder17-2Middleweight—
Rob Font20-8vs.Raul Rosas Jr.9-2Bantamweight—
Drew Dober28-14vs.Michael Johnson24-18Lightweight—
Gregory Rodrigues13-5vs.Brunno Ferreira10-2Middleweight—

UFC 326 Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Prelims Start Times: US, UK, Australia and more

Posted on by Jake Skudder

UFC 326 goes down on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, and with Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira headlining at lightweight, this is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated cards of the year. Before the main event spectacle, though, a stacked prelims and early prelims card demands every hardcore fan’s attention. Here’s your complete guide to when the prelims kick off across every major time zone.​

Global Prelims Start Times

The prelims schedule runs across three tiers, Early Prelims, Prelims, and the Main Card, spread across a roughly four-hour window on Saturday evening US time.​

Prelims Start Times by Region

SessionPT (Los Angeles)ET (New York)GMT (London)AEDT (Sydney)
Early Prelims2:00 PM5:00 PM10:00 PM9:00 AM Sun
Prelims4:00 PM7:00 PM12:00 AM Sun11:00 AM Sun
Main Card6:00 PM9:00 PM2:00 AM Sun1:00 PM Sun

For US fans, the early prelims stream on Paramount+ at 2:00 PM PT, with CBS picking up the final hour of prelims before transitioning to the main card at 6:00 PM PT. UK viewers can catch both prelims tiers on UFC Fight Pass before TNT Sports takes over for the main card, but be warned, the prelims start at midnight on Sunday morning, so set those alarms. Australian fans in AEDT actually get the most reasonable timing, the prelims open at 11:00 AM Sunday, with the main card starting at a comfortable 1:00 PM.

Full Prelims Card

Here is the complete confirmed prelims and early prelims lineup as it stands heading into fight week:

Prelims (4:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET)

Fighter AFighter BDivision
Cody Garbrandt (14-7)Xiao Long (27-10)Bantamweight
Donte Johnson (7-0)Cody Brundage (11-8-1)Middleweight
Alberto Montes (10-1)Ricky Turcios (12-5)Featherweight
Cody Durden (17-9-1)Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (9-1)Flyweight

Early Prelims (2:00 PM PT / 5:00 PM ET)

Fighter AFighter BDivision
Su Mudaerji (18-7)Jesús Santos Aguilar (12-3)Flyweight
Gaston BolañosLee Jeong-yeongFeatherweight
Luke FernandezRodolfo BellatoLight Heavyweight
Rafael Tobias (14-1)Diyar Nurgozhay (10-2)Light Heavyweight

Fights to Watch Closely

The Donte Johnson vs. Cody Brundage middleweight bout is the breakout watch of the prelims, Johnson enters undefeated at 7-0 against a gritty, experienced Brundage who has competed on the UFC roster since 2019. In the bantamweight slot, Cody Garbrandt is fighting for relevance against China’s Xiao Long, who carries a 27-10 record with serious finishing power, a loss here could signal the end of Garbrandt’s time as a contender. On the early prelims, Rafael Tobias at 14-1 is one of the most dangerous prospects flying under the radar on the entire card.

UFC 326 Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Fight Card

Posted on by Jake Skudder

UFC 326 goes down on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and it is shaping up to be one of the most loaded PPV cards of the year. Headlined by a BMF title rematch more than a decade in the making, the full UFC 326 Holloway vs Oliveira 2 fight card is stacked from top to bottom with veteran killers, rising contenders, and high-finish-rate talent. Here is everything you need to know:

Main Event: Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 – BMF Title

Max Holloway (27-8) defends his BMF title against former UFC Lightweight Champion Charles Oliveira (36-11) in a rematch that first took place at UFC Fight Night in August 2015, when Holloway stopped Oliveira via TKO in Round 1 after Oliveira suffered a neck injury during a takedown attempt. Both men have evolved into all-time greats since that featherweight clash, and this rematch is now contested at lightweight with far more on the line.

StatMax HollowayCharles Oliveira
Record27-836-11
Age3436
Reach69 in74 in
Sig. Strikes/Min7.203.35
Sig. Strike Acc.49.56%62.66%
Takedown Avg0.242.22
Submission Avg0.302.61

Holloway’s volume is elite, 7.20 significant strikes per minute is among the highest in the division (via UFCStats) while Oliveira’s submission average of 2.61 per 15 minutes (via UFCStats) is a constant reminder that one scramble can end the night. Oliveira lost the lightweight title last summer and is fighting to reclaim his status at 155 lbs, while a Holloway win could set up a title rematch with Ilia Topuria.

Co-Main: Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder

This middleweight clash between Caio Borralho (17-2-0, 1 NC) and Reinier de Ridder (21-3) is a legitimate title eliminator bout. Borralho carries a significant edge in striking defense (63% vs. de Ridder’s 44%), while de Ridder’s grappling volume, 4.74 takedown attempts per 15 minutes, and 85.7% finish rate make him one of the most dangerous grapplers on the roster.

StatBorralhoDe Ridder
Strikes Landed/Min3.613.25
Striking Defense63%44%
Striking Accuracy60%61%
Reach75 in79.1 in

De Ridder has a 4-inch reach advantage and a submission finish rate that demands respect at all times. Borralho’s counter-striking efficiency and superior damage economy make him the technical favorite, but this is the kind of fight that can end in an instant.

Main Card Breakdown

  • Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight) – This bout was originally scheduled for September 2025 before Rosas Jr. pulled out with a rib injury. Font (22-9) is a 17-year veteran and elite striker; Rosas Jr. (11-1) is just 21 years old and has won four straight since his only career loss.
  • Gregory Rodrigues vs. Matheus Nicolau Ferreira (Middleweight) – A high-energy matchup between two fighters who rarely let the action stall.
  • Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson (Lightweight) – A throwback banger between two of the UFC’s most reliable action fighters. Dober (28-15) snapped a three-fight losing streak with a recent knockout win, while Johnson (24-19) has reeled off three straight victories as a massive underdog in each. Between them they boast over 30 career knockouts, and both operate exclusively in stand-up exchanges.

Prelim Card at a Glance

FightWeight ClassWhy It Matters
Cody Garbrandt vs. Long XiaoBantamweightFormer champ Garbrandt hunting a comeback win
Cody Durden vs. Naimjon “Tumor” TumendemberalFlyweightDurden is a finishing machine at 125 lbs
Sumudaerji vs. Clayton AguilarFlyweightChinese contender looking to crack the top 15
Alberto Montes vs. Ricky TurciosBantamweightTurcios brings relentless pace and output
Cody Brundage vs. Dante JohnsonMiddleweightTwo tough middleweights with heavy hands
Daniel Marcos Bolanos vs. LeeFeatherweightBolanos fighting on home turf as the UFC debut

Garbrandt’s bantamweight bout against Long Xiao is the most emotionally charged prelim on the card, the former champion has been fighting to rediscover the form that earned him the 135 lb belt, and a performance win here would reignite his contender status.​

UFC & Paramount announce date for CBS debut

Posted on by Josh Nason

Just over a month into their seven year deal with Paramount Skydance, the UFC now has a date for their debut on CBS.

Announced on Tuesday, two hours of UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7 will air on the “Tiffany Network,” marking its return to broadcast TV. Some previous events aired on ABC during their multi-year deal with Disney/ESPN.

The two hours that will air on CBS will be from 8-10 pm Eastern, encompassing one hour of the prelims and the first hour of the main card. The entire show from 5 pm through midnight will air on Paramount+.

When the two companies announced their seven year, $7.7 billion domestic TV rights contract, it was stated that some shows would air on CBS.

UFC 326 from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is headlined by Max Holloway vs. Charles Olivera for the ceremonial BMF title with Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega as the co-main event. The bout order for the show is not yet official for what fights will air on CBS.